Friday, November 28, 2014

LeapRate Exclusive… LeapRate has learned, in discussions with various retail forex brokers in different locations around the globe, that November FX trading volumes will be somewhat lower than the record / near-record volumes reported by many in the industry during September and October. After two months of near nonstop volatility, the industry standard EURUSD has spent most of November in a fairly tight 1.24-1.25 trading band.

However a lot of that slack has apparently been picked up by CFD trading – in particular oil and gold CFDs, as those commodities took over the volatility baton during November.

In particular crude oil – as OPEC decided against a production cut on Thursday, crude prices dropped by more than 6% and traded below $70 per barrel for the first time in more than four years. This marks a more than 30% drop in crude prices since the summer, as demonstrated by the chart below, which has made commodity CFDs a leading trade vehicle during much of the past month.

Crude Oil prices below 70

 

WTI crude oil prices, past five years. Source: CNBC.

With a number of leading oil industry analysts and observers calling for further volatility and drops in oil prices – with several looking at the possibility of $30-$40 per bbl oil – this might be just the beginning of a growing CFD trading trend.

We'll begin to see actual trading results for November early next week. Stay tuned to LeapRate…


US Reuters/Michigan Consumer Sentiment Index

Location: United States

Date: 28/11/2014

Time: 14:55


Strength: 2/3

Previous:

Notes: The Reuters/Michigan Consumer Sentiment Index released by the Reuters/University of Michigan is a survey of personal consumer confidence in economic activity. It shows a picture of whether or not consumers are willing to spend money. Generally speaking, a high reading anticipates positive (or bullish) for the USD, while a low reading is seen as negative (or bearish).

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US Reuters/Michigan Consumer Sentiment Index

Location: United States

Date: 28/11/2014

Time: 14:55


Strength: 2/3

Previous:

Notes: The Reuters/Michigan Consumer Sentiment Index released by the Reuters/University of Michigan is a survey of personal consumer confidence in economic activity. It shows a picture of whether or not consumers are willing to spend money. Generally speaking, a high reading anticipates positive (or bullish) for the USD, while a low reading is seen as negative (or bearish).

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US Chicago Purchasing Managers' Index

Location: United States

Date: 28/11/2014

Time: 14:45


Strength: 2/3

Previous:

Notes: The Chicago Purchasing Managers Index released by Kingsbury International captures business conditions across Illinois, Indiana and Michigan. This index is an indicator of business trends and it is interrelated with the ISM manufacturing Index. It is widely used to indicate the overall economic condition in US. A result above 50 is bullish for the USD, whereas a result below 50 is seen as bearish.

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CA Gross Domestic Product (MoM)

Location: Canada

Date: 28/11/2014

Time: 13:30


Strength: 2/3

Previous:

Notes: The Gross Domestic Product released by the Statistics Canada is a measure of the total value of all goods and services produced by Canada. The GDP is considered as a broad measure of Canadian economic activity and health. Generally speaking, a rising trend has a positive effect on the CAD, while a falling trend is seen as negative (or bearish) for the CAD.

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EMU Consumer Price Index - Core (YoY)

Location: European Monetary Union

Date: 28/11/2014

Time: 10:00


Strength: 3/3

Previous: 0.7%

Notes: The core Consumer Price Index released by Eurostat is a measure of price movements by the comparison between the retail prices of a representative shopping basket of goods and services excluding the volatile components like food, energy, alcohol and tobacco. The core CPI is a key indicator to measure inflation and changes in purchasing trends. Generally, a high reading is seen as positive or bullish for the EUR, while a low reading is seen as negative.

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EMU Consumer Price Index (YoY)

Location: European Monetary Union

Date: 28/11/2014

Time: 10:00


Strength: 3/3

Previous: 0.4%

Notes: The Euro Zone CPI released by the Eurostat captures the changes in the price of goods and services. The CPI is a significant way to measure changes in purchasing trends and inflation in the Euro Zone. Generally, a high reading anticipates a hawkish attitude which will be positive (or bullish) for the EUR, while a low reading is seen as negative (or bearish).

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EMU Consumer Price Index - Core (YoY)

Location: European Monetary Union

Date: 28/11/2014

Time: 10:00


Strength: 3/3

Previous: 0.7%

Notes: The core Consumer Price Index released by Eurostat is a measure of price movements by the comparison between the retail prices of a representative shopping basket of goods and services excluding the volatile components like food, energy, alcohol and tobacco. The core CPI is a key indicator to measure inflation and changes in purchasing trends. Generally, a high reading is seen as positive or bullish for the EUR, while a low reading is seen as negative.

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EMU Unemployment Rate

Location: European Monetary Union

Date: 28/11/2014

Time: 10:00


Strength: 2/3

Previous: 11.5%

Notes: The Unemployment Rate released by the Eurostat is the number of unemployed workers divided by the total civilian labor force. It is a leading indicator for the European Economy. If the rate is up, it indicates a lack of expansion within the European lobar market. As a result, a rise leads to weaken the European economy. Generally speaking, a decrease of the figure is seen as positive (or bullish) for the EUR, while an increase is seen as negative (or bearish).

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EMU Consumer Price Index (YoY)

Location: European Monetary Union

Date: 28/11/2014

Time: 10:00


Strength: 3/3

Previous: 0.4%

Notes: The Euro Zone CPI released by the Eurostat captures the changes in the price of goods and services. The CPI is a significant way to measure changes in purchasing trends and inflation in the Euro Zone. Generally, a high reading anticipates a hawkish attitude which will be positive (or bullish) for the EUR, while a low reading is seen as negative (or bearish).

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EMU Unemployment Rate

Location: European Monetary Union

Date: 28/11/2014

Time: 10:00


Strength: 2/3

Previous: 11.5%

Notes: The Unemployment Rate released by the Eurostat is the number of unemployed workers divided by the total civilian labor force. It is a leading indicator for the European Economy. If the rate is up, it indicates a lack of expansion within the European lobar market. As a result, a rise leads to weaken the European economy. Generally speaking, a decrease of the figure is seen as positive (or bullish) for the EUR, while an increase is seen as negative (or bearish).

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UK Mortgage Approvals

Location: United Kingdom

Date: 28/11/2014

Time: 09:30


Strength: 2/3

Previous: 61.267K

Notes: The Mortgage Approvals released by the Bank of England presents the number of various Mortgage Approvals. It is considered as a leading indicator of the U.K. Housing Market. A Mortgage growth represents a healthy housing market that stimulates the overall U.K. economy. Generally, a high reading is seen as positive ( or bullish ) for the GBP, while a low reading is seen as negative (or bearish )

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UK Mortgage Approvals

Location: United Kingdom

Date: 28/11/2014

Time: 09:30


Strength: 2/3

Previous: 61.267K

Notes: The Mortgage Approvals released by the Bank of England presents the number of various Mortgage Approvals. It is considered as a leading indicator of the U.K. Housing Market. A Mortgage growth represents a healthy housing market that stimulates the overall U.K. economy. Generally, a high reading is seen as positive ( or bullish ) for the GBP, while a low reading is seen as negative (or bearish )

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UK Net Lending to Individuals (MoM)

Location: United Kingdom

Date: 28/11/2014

Time: 09:30


Strength: 2/3

Previous: ��2.7B

Notes: UK Net Lending to Individuals released by the Bank of England is a monthly measure of growth rates, amounts outstanding and changes in total lending to individuals, divided into lending secured on dwellings and consumer credit. It shows a picture of whether or not consumers are willing to spend money. A high reading is positive for the GBP, while a low reading is negative.

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UK Consumer Credit

Location: United Kingdom

Date: 28/11/2014

Time: 09:30


Strength: 2/3

Previous: ��0.915B

Notes: The Consumer Credit released by the Bank of England is an amount of money that individuals borrowed in the previous month. It shows if consumers can afford large expenses, which can fuel economic growth. However, a high figure may also indicate that the economy is overheating, as consumers borrow in order to live beyond their means. A high reading is seen as positive for the GBP, whereas a low reading is seen as negative.

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