Wednesday, April 30, 2014

US Fed Pace of MBS Purchase Program

Location: United States

Date: 30/04/2014

Time: 19:00


Strength: 3/3

Previous: $25B

Notes: Quantitative easing is an unconventional monetary policy set by a Central Bank, to stimulate the local economy. Since the recession started back in 2007/8, the FED has announced three different programs, being currently active the last two: a $40 billion purchase a month in mortgage-backed securities indefinitely (MBS) from financial institutions, and a $600 billion program in long-term Treasuries. The Central Bank is expected to start reducing the pace of purchases, as a result of economic improvement. Therefore, these announcements can affect big the forex market by signaling the end of the recession in the US.

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US Chicago Purchasing Managers' Index

Location: United States

Date: 30/04/2014

Time: 14:45


Strength: 2/3

Previous: 55.9 / Consensus: 56.5

Notes: The Chicago Purchasing Managers Index released by Kingsbury International captures business conditions across Illinois, Indiana and Michigan. This index is an indicator of business trends and it is interrelated with the ISM manufacturing Index. It is widely used to indicate the overall economic condition in US. A result above 50 is bullish for the USD, whereas a result below 50 is seen as bearish.

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CA Gross Domestic Product (MoM)

Location: Canada

Date: 30/04/2014

Time: 13:30


Strength: 2/3

Previous: 0.5%

Notes: The Gross Domestic Product released by the Statistics Canada is a measure of the total value of all goods and services produced by Canada. The GDP is considered as a broad measure of Canadian economic activity and health. Generally speaking, a rising trend has a positive effect on the CAD, while a falling trend is seen as negative (or bearish) for the CAD.

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US Gross Domestic Product Price Index

Location: United States

Date: 30/04/2014

Time: 13:30


Strength: 2/3

Previous: 1.6% / Consensus: 1.7%

Notes: The GDP Price Index released by the Bureau of Economic Analysis, Department of Commerce gauges the change in the prices of goods and services. Changes in the GDP price index are followed as an indicator of inflationary pressure that may anticipate interest rates to rise. A high reading is seen as positive, or bullish for the USD, while a low reading is seen as negative, or bearish.

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US Personal Consumption Expenditures Prices (QoQ)

Location: United States

Date: 30/04/2014

Time: 13:30


Strength: 2/3

Previous: 1.1% / Consensus: 1.4%

Notes: Personal Consumption Expenditures, released by US Department of Commerce, measures price changes in consumer goods and services. Personal consumption expenditures consist of the actual and imputed expenditures of households; the measure includes data pertaining to durables, non-durables and services. It is essentially a measure of goods and services targeted toward individuals and consumed by individuals.

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US Gross Domestic Product Annualized

Location: United States

Date: 30/04/2014

Time: 13:30


Strength: 3/3

Previous: 2.6%

Notes: The Gross Domestic Product Annualized released by the US Bureau of Economic Analysis shows the monetary value of all the goods, services and structures produced within a country in a given period of time. GDP Annualized is a gross measure of market activity because it indicates the pace at which a country's economy is growing or decreasing. Generally speaking, a high reading or a better than expected number is seen as positive for the USD, while a low reading is negative.

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US Core Personal Consumption Expenditures (QoQ)

Location: United States

Date: 30/04/2014

Time: 13:30


Strength: 2/3

Previous: 1.3% / Consensus: 1.4%

Notes: The Real Personal Consumption Expenditure released by the Bureau of Economic Analysis, Department of Commerce is an average of the amount of money the consumers spend in a month on durable goods, consumer products, and services.. It is considered as an important indicator of inflation. Generally speaking, a high reading is bullish for the USD, while a low reading is bearish.

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US ADP Employment Change

Location: United States

Date: 30/04/2014

Time: 13:15


Strength: 2/3

Previous: 191K / Consensus: 213K

Notes: The Employment Change released by the Automatic Data Processing, Inc is a measure of the change in the number of employed people in the US. Generally speaking, a rise in this indicator has positive implications for consumer spending, stimulating economic growth. So a high reading is traditionally seen as positive, or bullish for the USD, while a low reading is seen as negative, or bearish.

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EMU Consumer Price Index - Core (YoY)

Location: European Monetary Union

Date: 30/04/2014

Time: 10:00


Strength: 3/3

Previous: 0.7%

Notes: The core Consumer Price Index released by Eurostat is a measure of price movements by the comparison between the retail prices of a representative shopping basket of goods and services excluding the volatile components like food, energy, alcohol and tobacco. The core CPI is a key indicator to measure inflation and changes in purchasing trends. Generally, a high reading is seen as positive or bullish for the EUR, while a low reading is seen as negative.

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EMU Consumer Price Index (YoY)

Location: European Monetary Union

Date: 30/04/2014

Time: 10:00


Strength: 3/3

Previous: 0.5% / Consensus: 0.8%

Notes: The Euro Zone CPI released by the Eurostat captures the changes in the price of goods and services. The CPI is a significant way to measure changes in purchasing trends and inflation in the Euro Zone. Generally, a high reading anticipates a hawkish attitude which will be positive (or bullish) for the EUR, while a low reading is seen as negative (or bearish).

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IT Unemployment

Location: Italy

Date: 30/04/2014

Time: 09:00


Strength: 2/3

Previous: 13% / Consensus: 13%

Notes: The Unemployment Rate released by the National Institute of Statistics is the number of unemployed workers divided by the total civilian labor force. It is a leading indicator for the Italian economy. If the rate is up, it indicates a lack of expansion within the Italian labor market. As a result, a rise leads to weakening in the economy. Normally, a decrease in the figure is seen as positive (or bullish) for the Euro, while an increase is seen as negative (or bearish).

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DE Unemployment Change

Location: Germany

Date: 30/04/2014

Time: 08:55


Strength: 3/3

Previous: -12K / Consensus: -10K

Notes: The Unemployment Change released by the Bundesagentur f��r Arbeit and published by the German Statistics Office is a measure of the change in the number of unemployed people in Germany. A rise in this indicator has negative implications for consumer spending which encourages economic growth. Generally, a high reading is seen as negative (or bearish) for the EUR, while a low reading is seen as positive (or bullish).

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DE Unemployment Rate s.a.

Location: Germany

Date: 30/04/2014

Time: 08:55


Strength: 3/3

Previous: 6.7% / Consensus: 6.7%

Notes: The Unemployment Rate released by the Bundesagentur f��r Arbeit and published by the German Statistics Office shows , in a percent basis, the amount of unemployed people in Germany. A decrease in this indicator has positive implications for consumer spending which stimulates economic growth. Normally, a decrease of the figure is bullish for the EUR, while an increase is bearish.

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JP BoJ Press Conference

Location: Japan

Date: 30/04/2014

Time: 07:30


Strength: 3/3

Previous:

Notes: Kuroda, BoJ's governor, will give a press conference in order to communicate with investors regarding monetary policy. He talks about the factors that affected the most recent interest rate decision, the overall economic outlook, inflation, and clues regarding future monetary policy.

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DE Retail Sales (YoY)

Location: Germany

Date: 30/04/2014

Time: 07:00


Strength: 2/3

Previous: 2%

Notes: The Retail Sales released by the Statistisches Bundesamt Deutschland is a measure of changes in sales of the German retail sector. It shows the performance of the retail sector in the short term. Percent changes reflect the rate of changes of such sales.The changes are widely followed as an indicator of consumer spending. The positive economic growth anticipates "Bullish" for the EUR, while a low reading is seen as negative, or bearish, for the EUR.

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